Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 1.970598 2.267564 2.599367 2.998523 3.466933 4.000685 4.657106
2025-03-16 1.491631 1.875013 2.347488 2.976716 3.798917 4.845216 6.290973
2025-03-23 1.238894 1.650707 2.192384 2.965152 4.052460 5.547460 7.792773
2025-03-30 1.052953 1.468653 2.044348 2.912173 4.208752 6.108596 9.167609
2025-04-06 0.941728 1.366753 1.982430 2.956758 4.492477 6.875626 10.964961
2025-04-13 0.827086 1.241241 1.864451 2.892534 4.589533 7.357981 12.382767
2025-04-20 0.775501 1.202257 1.868696 3.013907 4.992743 8.386603 14.906666
2025-04-27 0.706376 1.126167 1.803099 3.008473 5.176693 9.063989 16.922101
2025-05-04 0.666576 1.092165 1.800375 3.106552 5.551983 10.135788 19.892816
2025-05-11 0.617657 1.036851 1.754229 3.119648 5.769981 10.943138 22.489668
2025-05-18 0.574299 0.986135 1.709649 3.128230 5.977692 11.758938 25.266983
2025-05-25 0.523549 0.916958 1.624172 3.047563 5.994888 12.184961 27.257124
2025-06-01 0.486868 0.874649 1.592695 3.087735 6.308543 13.387246 31.592297
2025-06-08 0.444528 0.818244 1.530215 3.062038 6.491994 14.374349 35.778409
2025-06-15 0.409347 0.771003 1.478847 3.050231 6.701827 15.464437 40.560061
2025-06-22 0.374222 0.719678 1.412603 2.995557 6.801911 16.309865 44.933706
2025-06-29 0.352527 0.692807 1.393052 3.041564 7.151352 17.865561 51.900845
2025-07-06 0.323502 0.647551 1.329072 2.975293 7.208910 18.662514 56.798564
2025-07-13 0.312755 0.639612 1.344793 3.100539 7.785245 21.032618 67.716692
2025-07-20 0.293115 0.610290 1.309368 3.094931 8.010439 22.446366 75.875183
2025-07-27 0.282615 0.599968 1.315876 3.196151 8.553285 24.959202 89.102510
2025-08-03 0.267239 0.577013 1.290161 3.209668 8.847221 26.768204 100.380088
2025-08-10 0.252898 0.554979 1.264116 3.218526 9.130311 28.620888 112.675636